English-Speaking Union Reception
Date (happened)
before 1968
bound · possible
Reasoning
Qualifying passage ids [538832] belong to telling lecture nids [1384]. Each listed lecture contributes the selected safe envelope year 1968 (MAX of its non-refuted delivery years); 1968 is the MIN across telling lectures.
Told / reported
7 October 1968
estimated · probable · preferred
Reasoning
Witness passage 538832 is inside lecture node 1384. The packet's adjudication for node 1384 establishes the delivery date as 1968-10-07 at probable from the chrome dateline, superseding the doubtful 1968-10-09 catalogue date. A told claim citing a lecture node is type estimated, never stated. Confidence is capped by the strongest delivery claim on node 1384 with exactly the same six-part tuple 1968-10-07; that strongest claim is probable, so confidence probable is allowed. Existing told claims at 1968-10-09 doubtful are left untouched.
9 October 1968
stated · refuted
Why
pm-actor-525: M7 dating (525): Superseded by node 1384's better-evidenced probable delivery of 1968-10-07.
9 October 1968
stated · refuted
Why
pm-actor-525: M7 dating (525): Superseded by node 1384's better-evidenced probable delivery of 1968-10-07.
Reasoning
Confidence only; the date is not re-adjudicated and is left exactly as written. This claim is derived from the delivery claims of node 1384 and asserts `certain`, but the strongest claim that node carries is `probable`, so there is nothing for `certain` to inherit from. nid 1384 delivery claims: 1968-10-9 doubtful; 1968-10-7 probable. Walked back to `probable`, the ceiling. Whether the DATE is right is a separate question this row does not touch; if the evidence turns out to support more confidence, it will have to come from a source other than this node.
Sources
Source
- The Spirit of Truth ¶19 (When we went into the Silence, she simply embraced dozens of roses, beautiful roses, so that roses filled the air. If roses aren’t here, then why is the fragrance of rose in the air? She smothered herself in roses. She lived at the Waldorf Astoria, just …)