Six or seven months ago he dreamt of a little dog on a leash defecating repeatedly on the sidewalk; reading the repetition as Genesis 41's sign that a thing is fixed by the Lord, he told his wife he would receive an unexpected large sum, and forty-eight hours later the bank called him about a $3,000 cheque he had not asked for.
Date (happened)
c. 1956
conclusion · probable
Why
dc1-agreement-20261004, pm-actor-551 (PM 8702)
Reasoning
1 claim, no conflict: c. 1956 (passage:543006).
c. 1956
stated · probable · preferred
Told / reported
25 October 1971
conclusion · probable
Why
dc1-agreement-20261004, pm-actor-551 (PM 8702)
Reasoning
1 claim, no conflict: 1971-10-25 (node:1752).
25 October 1971
estimated · probable
Why
Lane L7 (#2354) re-derivation. Supersedes in substance, not in storage, the refuted-date told claim(s) on this event; those rows stand per append-only.
Reasoning
Re-derived, not walked down. The existing told claim(s) on this event took their date from a delivery claim on node 1752 that the corpus has since REFUTED, so the corpus was asserting that Neville told this on a day it separately says he did not lecture. That is a contradiction rather than an over-confidence, and lowering the confidence would have hidden it instead of resolving it. The refutation stands and the told claim is the wrong side of it. Node 1752 surviving (non-refuted) claim: 1971-10-25 at `probable`. All claims on the node: 1957-??-?? refuted; 1971-10-25 probable (preferred). Superseded here: delta 0: 1957-00-00 at `certain` (run `corpus v1 / phase3b`) | delta 1: 1957-00-00 at `probable` (run `v1.1/l4/ceiling/c2`). The telling is dated by its lecture, so with the refuted date removed from consideration the surviving claim is what the telling inherits, at that claim own confidence and no higher.
1957
stated · refuted
Reasoning
|| v1.1/l7/told-close: the delivery claim this was derived from (nid 1752, 1957--) was refuted by the L7 adjudication (#2363). The corrected told claim from the same lecture stands at 1971-10-25. This row is retired rather than deleted so the derivation history remains readable.
1957
stated · refuted
Why
Corrects the confidence of the told claim written by run `corpus v1 / phase3b` at delta 0 on this event; that claim is left standing per append-only. Ceiling rule #2132.
Reasoning
Confidence only; the date is not re-adjudicated and is left exactly as written. This claim is derived from the delivery claims of node 1752 and asserts `certain`, but the strongest claim that node carries is `probable`, so there is nothing for `certain` to inherit from. nid 1752 delivery claims: 1957-??-?? doubtful; 1971-10-25 probable. Walked back to `probable`, the ceiling. Whether the DATE is right is a separate question this row does not touch; if the evidence turns out to support more confidence, it will have to come from a source other than this node. || v1.1/l7/told-close: the delivery claim this was derived from (nid 1752, 1957--) was refuted by the L7 adjudication (#2363). The corrected told claim from the same lecture stands at 1971-10-25. This row is retired rather than deleted so the derivation history remains readable.
Sources
Source
- The Potter's House ¶61 (But having had the dream, I said to my wife, “Darling, I am going to get an unexpected large sum of money, and right away.”)