An affirming woman visits Neville in New York
Date (happened)
c. 1946
conclusion · probable
Why
dc1-agreement-20261004, pm-actor-551 (PM 8702)
Reasoning
1 claim, no conflict: c. 1946 (passage:534962).
c. 1946
estimated · probable
Reasoning
Reverse-witness passage 534962 (nid 1256, 'Take My Yoke'): Neville says 'I go back now twenty-odd years into New York City' immediately after addressing the audience about 'this night' -- anchored directly to the SPEAKING date of this lecture, with no nested earlier-undated-telling framing present (contrast trap 7's 'next Sunday morning' false friend -- there is no 'when I told this story in...' layer here). The lecture's own delivery claims show the same supersession as this lecture's other events: d0 (1967-01-24, REFUTED, catalogue_block_error, L7 adjudication #2363) superseded by standing d1 (1966-11-11, probable, preferred=1, recovered chrome dateline, mildly corroborated by falling on a Friday). Anchoring 'twenty-odd years ago' to 1966-11-11 computes to approximately 1946 (1966 minus the named 'twenty'); 'odd' signals the true gap is somewhat more than twenty years, pushing the real year earlier still by an unspecified amount, so 1946 is treated as a near-side point estimate rather than a firm value, flagged circa. Confidence answers to two caps taken at their lower: the anchor's own strength (probable, not certain) and the phrase's own hedge ('-odd' functions like 'about'/'roughly'). Both land at probable; used probable.