Neville says he and Bob worked out the chronological order of the mystical experiences, and on that order a man in the audience, Benny, who has already found the child, must bring forth David on or about the 6th of March; others have written him letters forecasting the same.
Date (happened)
27 October 1967
unresolved
27 October 1967
stated · preferred
Why
M7 dating pass (529; 525's readers, packet 040)
Reasoning
The forecasting speech act itself is what's recorded, occurring at the certain telling rather than merely before it.
before 1969
bound · possible
Reasoning
Qualifying passage ids [536285] belong to telling lecture nids [1296]. Each listed lecture contributes the selected safe envelope year 1969 (MAX of its non-refuted delivery years); 1969 is the MIN across telling lectures.
Told
27 October 1967
estimated
Why
Lane L7 (#2354) re-derivation. Supersedes in substance, not in storage, the refuted-date told claim(s) on this event; those rows stand per append-only.
Reasoning
Re-derived, not walked down. The existing told claim(s) on this event took their date from a delivery claim on node 1296 that the corpus has since REFUTED, so the corpus was asserting that Neville told this on a day it separately says he did not lecture. That is a contradiction rather than an over-confidence, and lowering the confidence would have hidden it instead of resolving it. The refutation stands and the told claim is the wrong side of it. Node 1296 surviving (non-refuted) claim: 1967-10-27 at `certain`. All claims on the node: 1967-10-27 certain; 1967-10-27 certain; 1969-10-18 refuted; 1967-10-27 certain (preferred). Superseded here: delta 0: 1969-10-18 at `certain` (run `corpus v1 / phase3b`). The telling is dated by its lecture, so with the refuted date removed from consideration the surviving claim is what the telling inherits, at that claim own confidence and no higher.
18 October 1969
stated · refuted
Reasoning
|| v1.1/l7/told-close: the delivery claim this was derived from (nid 1296, 1969-10-18) was refuted by the L7 adjudication (#2363). The corrected told claim from the same lecture stands at 1967-10-27. This row is retired rather than deleted so the derivation history remains readable.