Death of Neville's brother Lawrence on August 4, 1966
Date (happened)
4 August 1966
estimated · probable · preferred
Reasoning
The day and month, '4th of August', are stated directly; the year is inferred from 'recently departed' combined with the lecture's certain delivery date of 1966-09-16 (d1, chrome byline, independently agreeing with the catalog claim), placing the death about six weeks before the lecture, i.e. 1966-08-04. This matches the event's own title (Aug 4, 1966) and the corpus anchors for his parents' deaths (hist_event 5951: father, 1959; hist_event 5960: mother, 1941), which this same passage names exactly, supporting the reliability of Neville's self-reported family dates here.
August 1967
stated · doubtful
Reasoning
|| v1.1/l7/event-lower: lowered `certain` -> `doubtful`. Contradicted by four independent routes converging on 4 August 1966. (1) The genealogical record: Arthur Lawrence Goddard, b. 1903-11-06, d. 1966-08-04. (2) hist_event 8560 quotes nid 1965 passage 550292 — 'who recently departed this world on the 4th of August' — in a lecture whose delivery is CERTAIN 1966-09-16, six weeks later. (3) @392's triangulation of three lectures, ruled May-September 1966 by @378 at #2673. (4) @389's independent interval arithmetic at #2795, from a lecture the worker judged in isolation. Against those, this 1967-08 rests on a single derived reading of 'last August' spoken in nid 1298, whose own delivery date is only PROBABLE. Lowered, not refuted: the lecture did say 'last August' and that testimony stands as recorded. ⛔ The DATE was not touched and `preferred` was not moved.
c. 1953
stated · doubtful
Reasoning
|| v1.1/l7/event-lower: lowered `certain` -> `doubtful`. Orphaned: this 1953 rests entirely on 'four years ago' spoken in nid 1030 'The Promise Fulfilled', computed against that node's 1957 delivery claim — which is now REFUTED. Its surviving claim is 1971-07-20, under which the same sentence yields 1967, not 1953. Independently, the genealogical record gives Arthur Lawrence Goddard b. 1903-11-06, d. 1966-08-04, matching hist_event 8560's quote-derived 1966-08-04 to the day. ⛔ The DATE was not touched and `preferred` was not moved.
Told / reported
16 September 1966
estimated
Reasoning
The telling occurs in this lecture, whose delivery is certain and stated (d1: 1966-09-16, chrome byline, independently agreeing with the legacy catalog claim d0 on this same repeat node); the told claim inherits that certain ceiling.
30 October 1967
stated · possible
26 October 1968
stated · probable
Source
Imagination Fulfills Itself (nid 1392), telling 1392-8, told 1968-10-26
after 20 July 1971
estimated · probable
Why
Lane L7 (#2354) re-derivation. Supersedes in substance, not in storage, the refuted-date told claim(s) on this event; those rows stand per append-only.
Reasoning
Re-derived, not walked down. The existing told claim(s) on this event took their date from a delivery claim on node 1030 that the corpus has since REFUTED, so the corpus was asserting that Neville told this on a day it separately says he did not lecture. That is a contradiction rather than an over-confidence, and lowering the confidence would have hidden it instead of resolving it. The refutation stands and the told claim is the wrong side of it. Node 1030 surviving (non-refuted) claim: 1971-7-20 at `probable`. All claims on the node: 1957-??-?? refuted; 1971-7-20 probable (preferred). Superseded here: delta 2: 1957-00-00 at `certain` (run `corpus v1 / phase3b`) | delta 4: 1957-00-00 at `probable` (run `v1.1/l4/ceiling/c2`). The telling is dated by its lecture, so with the refuted date removed from consideration the surviving claim is what the telling inherits, at that claim own confidence and no higher.
1957
stated · refuted
Reasoning
|| v1.1/l7/told-close: the delivery claim this was derived from (nid 1030, 1957--) was refuted by the L7 adjudication (#2363). The corrected told claim from the same lecture stands at 1971-7-20. This row is retired rather than deleted so the derivation history remains readable.
Sources
Source
- The Promise Fulfilled ¶10 (My brother Lawrence, who took part in my drama of the finding of the child, departed four years ago; he’s just as alive to me, only he is young. He was 62 when he departed.)
- Imagining Creates Reality (expanded "What Are You Doing") ¶42 (Would I not bring back my brother Lawrence, who, last August, closed his eye and departed this sphere?)
- Imagining Creates ¶30 (When my brother, Lawrence, was making his exit from this world, I told my sister-in-law that there was marriage in the next world and she – in a very light vein – said: “I don’t want to go now, but do you think Lawrence will be waiting for me so we can g…)